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The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. But on all probability it would. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Step 4. Please pass this post along. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Dr. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Based on the data from the CDC . So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. June 24, 2022 . The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. So whats the probability of your existing? dr ali binazir odds of being born. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Thats a pretty good trip. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Step 3. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. But let's think about this some more. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. A lovely day to you. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Now things start getting interesting. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Thats 150,000 generations. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Step 2. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Onward to freedom! First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. But lets make it longer. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. What are the odds of that? You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Those who are brave (foolish?) Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Yet here we are. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. xx, Lets be social! Do you know the odds of being alive? Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Whoa. Step 1. 7 distinct works Similar authors. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Want to Read. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. June 5. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Are they gross exaggerations? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Then the probability of Mr. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Thats a ridiculously huge number. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. How fast does a laden fly fly? The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" This includes personalizing content and advertising. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. I think that was exactly Msgr. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. I hope you use your chance well. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Why? Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! The chances that they would then get knocked up? enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000.

The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. But on all probability it would. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Step 4. Please pass this post along. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Dr. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Based on the data from the CDC . So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. June 24, 2022 . The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. So whats the probability of your existing? dr ali binazir odds of being born. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Thats a pretty good trip. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Step 3. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. But let's think about this some more. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. A lovely day to you. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Now things start getting interesting. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Thats 150,000 generations. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Step 2. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Onward to freedom! First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. But lets make it longer. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. What are the odds of that? You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Those who are brave (foolish?) Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Yet here we are. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. xx, Lets be social! Do you know the odds of being alive? Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Whoa. Step 1. 7 distinct works Similar authors. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Want to Read. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. June 5. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Are they gross exaggerations? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Then the probability of Mr. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Thats a ridiculously huge number. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. How fast does a laden fly fly? The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" This includes personalizing content and advertising. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. I think that was exactly Msgr. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. I hope you use your chance well. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Why? Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! The chances that they would then get knocked up? enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000.